NHL Mid-Season Awards and Outlook

I've made it clear in the past: that the Carolina Hurricanes belong in Hartford as the Whalers. I could go on and on, etc. But the people of Raleigh put on a helluva show this past All-Star weekend, providing some great festivities and a memorable game that featured 21 total goals. Team Lidstrom defeated Team Staal, 11-10. And most importantly, people tuned in; ratings were 50% higher from the NHL's previous All-Star endeavor in 2009.

Now that the unofficial halfway point is behind us, let's take a look back at the first 50 or so games from the first half or the season, and try to come up with some idea as to who the favorite is. I'll be handing out some hardware, while throwing in a few "awards" of my own, and identifying which teams have surprised the most, in addition to which have been the biggest disappointment.

Being realistic, I can count only 5 teams who have absolutely zero chance at making the post-season. Those teams would be the Maple Leafs, Islanders, Devils, Senators, and Oilers. So with 25 teams still having a puncher's chance at raising Lord Stanley's Cup, it's time to drop the puck on the season's second half.

Hart Memorial Trophy (MVP) of the Half-season

Sidney Crosby, C, Penguins

Think of it this way: Sid the Kid has played in just 41 games so far, accumulating 32 goals in those contests. Compare that to a down year (by his standards) in 2008-09, when he reached just 33 goals through 77 games. Crosby's play this year has helped keep the Penguins among the NHL's elite, despite at times inconsistent goaltending from primary netminder Marc-Andre Fleury.

Crosby has missed the past 9 Penguins games with a concussion, and unfortunately for the Pens, has yet to be cleared for game action. So come the end of the season, Crosby's numbers may not look quite as strong compared to some of his competitors for the award. But also consider this: Pittsburgh is just 5-4 without Crosby in the lineup, compared to 26-11-4 with his services. So despite the relatively small sample size, there's definitely some correlation between the Penguins with Sid and without him.

Assuming Crosby can return by the middle of February, he should still have about 25 games to play in, which would give him 66 for the season. Despite what will have amounted to 16 games missed, he's still on a torrid pace for 52 goals and 55 assists for 107 points. Come April, it's likely Steven Stamkos will have a sizable lead on The Kid in nearly all offensive categories. But for the first half of the season, no one meant more to his team than Crosby did to the Penguins.

Still in the running: Stamkos, the Sedin twins, Ryan Kesler, Tim Thomas

Vezina Trophy (Best Goalie) winner of the Half-season

 

Tim Thomas, Bruins

Martin Brodeur. Patrick Roy. Dominick Hasek. Ed Belfour. Ken Dryden. Tony Esposito. Michel Laroque. Bernie Parent. Those are the names of goaltenders who have won multiple Vezina Trophies in the NHL's Expansion era (1967+), awarded each year the most outstanding goalie in the NHL. Not too shabby of a list, is it? And boy, is Thomas primed to join them or what.  Of course, you can't tell Thomas's whole story without going back to this time two years ago. 

Thomas was in the midst of a career year, with the Bruins sitting pretty atop the Eastern Conference, primed for their first division title since 2004. Near the end of the campaign, Thomas was awarded a 4 year, $20 million contract extension. At this point, he was a shoo-in for the Vezina. But a 4 year extension?  For a 34 year old goalie who had only been a starter for two years?

Immediately, there were all kinds of criticisms for Thomas's new deal. And last season, in the first year of the extension, Thomas was supplanted as starter by phenom Tuukka Rask. It looked as though his magical 2008-09 season was just lightning in a bottle, and he cashed in big time while screwing the Bruins cap situation in the process.

But alas, Rask struggled from fatigue as the Bruins blew a 3-0 series lead to the Philadelphia Flyers in the Eastern Semis last spring, and was promptly lit up for 5 goals in the Bruins season opener this season. Thomas got the start in the B's second game, and wound up starting 7 of the next 8 contests overall. Thomas won all 7 of his starts, posting 3 shutouts along the way, while allowing just 5 goals overall.

And he's done anything but cool down from that start. Timmy's overall record is 24-5-6, leading all NHL goaltenders in both save percentage (.945) and goals against average (1.81), and is tied for the league lead in shutouts with 7. 

The real clincher for Thomas is the rest of his competition. Or lack thereof. Pekka Rinne of Nashville, who is second in both SV% and GAA, is closer to 10th place in save percentage and 23rd place in goals against, than he is to Thomas in both categories. Tim Thomas is indeed primed to join the hallowed company of multiple Vezina winners.

Still in the running: This one's over, Johnny.

Calder Trophy (Best Rookie) of the Half-season

Jeff Skinner, C, Hurricanes

Welp, so much for Taylor Hall and Tyler Seguin taking the NHL by storm. Weren't they supposed to be a slightly younger version of Crosby vs. Ovechkin? While Hall has performed about as well as one can be expected to perform in the doldrums of Edmonton, Seguin has struggled to find any semblance of consistency. Granted, the Bruins haven't been in a position where they need Seguin to turn into Crosby 2.0, but he's more or less looked lost as sea for a good portion of the season.

Meanwhile, the 7th overall pick of this years draft, Jeff Skinner, has helped bring the Hurricanes to the brink of playoff contention, and perhaps giving Carolina a second top-flight forward to go with Eric Staal. Skinner was the only rookie selected for the All-Star game, especially notable due to playing in front of his home crowd. He leads all rookies in scoring and assists, while placing second in goals behind only Logan Couture of the Sharks.

Perhaps the scariest part about Skinner is his age: 18. While many rookies traditionally hit the so-called wall around this time of the year, Skinner actually had his best month of the season in January, putting up a 9-5-14 line. So while this award may not be as set in stone as some of the others, Skinner is definitely in the driver's seat.

Still in the running: Couture, Corey Crawford (Blackhawks), Hall, and just for the hell of it, Brad Marchand of the Bruins.

Norris Trophy (Best Defenseman) of the Half-season

Dustin Byfuglien, Thrashers (pronounced Buff-lin)

While not necessarily a scoring competition amongst defensemen, Big Buff has had an undeniable impact on the Thrashers that simply can't go untold. A casualty of the Blackhawks' salary cap woes following their Stanley Cup run in June, Atlanta swooped in and acquired Byfuglien and several other members of the Chicago Championship-winning squad to install a new attitude around the team. And no one has had a bigger impact than Buff. 

During training camp, Thrashers coach Craig Ramsey made the controversial decision of moving Byfuglien from right wing to D, a move which many thought would hinder some of Byfuglien's strengths, such as his play in front of the net.

But his overall game hasn't suffered a bit, and it's hard to argue that he can't contribute the most on the blue line. 18 of his 41 points have come on the power play, making him a valuable asset on that front, while his 16 goals lead all defensemen. 

Atlanta, for the first time, well, ever, seems to care about hockey. And with Big Buff leading the charge, the Thrashers are poised for their first post-season berth since 2007.

Still in the running: Zdeno Chara, Lubomir Visnovsky, Nicklas Lidstrom, Kris Letang.

Stay tuned for Part II later on tonight.